Hull City vs Everton Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Hull City welcome Everton to the MKM Stadium on 11 October 2026 in a Premier League clash between two sides making solid starts to the campaign. With just one point separating them after five matches, this feels like an early-season barometer for both clubs’ ambitions.

Hull sit 8th with 8 points from 5 games, having lost only once and boasting a positive goal difference. Everton are just ahead in 7th on 9 points and remain unbeaten, drawing three and winning two. With both teams defending well and showing signs of tactical identity, this looks like a tight, low-scoring encounter rather than a wide-open shootout.

The match will be played at the MKM Stadium in Hull, where the hosts have yet to concede a league goal this season. Everton, however, bring strong defensive numbers of their own and a recent historical edge in this fixture. Broadcast rights vary by region; check local listings or the official tournament website for details.

Hull City vs Everton Key Stats

• Hull City are 8th with 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 6 and conceding 4.
• Everton have not lost any of their last 5 league games against Hull in all competitions provided, and won 3-2 after extra time in the FA Cup on 8 January 2022 at the MKM Stadium.
• Across their 2026 Premier League statistics, both Hull City and Everton have kept 3 clean sheets each in 5 matches.

Hull City vs Everton — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 8 vs 7
• Points: 8 vs 9
• Goals For: 6 vs 6
• Goals Against: 4 vs 3
• Clean Sheets: Hull City 3, Everton 3 (tournament statistics)

After five Premier League matches in 2026, there is very little to separate these sides on raw numbers. Hull City have taken 8 points, scoring 6 and conceding 4, while Everton edge them with 9 points, 6 goals scored and just 3 conceded. Both have identical total clean-sheet counts, underlining how defence-first this contest could become.

Hull’s home record is particularly impressive: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 goals conceded at the MKM Stadium. Everton, meanwhile, have been tough to beat away, drawing both of their road fixtures with only 1 goal conceded. With both teams averaging 1.2 goals scored per game and under 1 goal conceded per game, the standings context supports the expectation of a tight, tactical battle where a single moment of quality or a defensive lapse could decide it.

Hull City vs Everton Key Matchups

M. Belloumi vs J. Garner

Mohamed Elbachir Belloumi has been Hull City’s standout attacking influence in the early weeks. In 5 Premier League appearances, he has 2 goals and 2 assists, directly contributing to two-thirds of Hull’s 6 goals so far. Operating as a midfielder but listed among the attackers in Hull’s squad, he has taken 13 shots (5 on target), created 5 key passes and completed 6 successful dribbles from 12 attempts. His 7.14 average rating underlines how central he is to Hull’s creative and goal threat.

For Everton, James Garner has emerged as a key midfield anchor. In 5 appearances (4 starts) and 330 minutes, he has yet to score or assist, but his influence lies in control and defensive work. He has completed 189 passes at an excellent 90% accuracy, produced 4 key passes and made 11 tackles, 3 blocks and 3 interceptions. His 7.07 rating reflects a balanced profile: secure in possession, strong in duels (16 won from 28) and tactically disciplined. The duel between Belloumi’s forward thrust and Garner’s screening and distribution could shape the rhythm of the game.

O. McBurnie vs Everton back line

Oliver McBurnie has yet to find the net in 5 league appearances, but he remains a focal point for Hull’s attack. He has 1 assist, 10 shots (3 on target) and 6 key passes, showing he contributes both as a target man and a link player. His physical presence is evident in 90 total duels, with 43 won, and he has drawn 11 fouls, suggesting he can pin centre-backs and win set-pieces in dangerous areas. The flip side is his discipline: 3 yellow cards already, making him a booking risk in what could be a tight game.

Everton’s defensive unit, built around experienced centre-backs like J. Tarkowski and M. Keane in the squad list, has conceded only 3 goals in 5 matches and kept 3 clean sheets. With the team’s defensive index in recent data stronger than Hull’s and no league defeats yet, how well they handle McBurnie’s aerial and physical threat — without conceding too many fouls around the box — will be crucial.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These clubs have met regularly over the past decade, with Everton generally having the upper hand but Hull showing they can compete, especially at home. Recent meetings have often been competitive and occasionally high scoring.

• 8 January 2022: Hull City 2-3 Everton (FA Cup)
• 18 March 2017: Everton 4-0 Hull City (Premier League)
• 30 December 2016: Hull City 2-2 Everton (Premier League)
• 1 January 2015: Hull City 2-0 Everton (Premier League)
• 3 December 2014: Everton 1-1 Hull City (Premier League)

Hull City vs Everton Prediction

Stats suggest a very finely balanced contest. Everton are rated as slight favourites in the predictive probabilities, with a 45% chance of an away win and a 45% chance of a draw, leaving Hull with only a 10% win probability. That points strongly towards the “Everton or draw” double-chance angle.

Hull’s recent form (LDDWW in the standings, but WWDDL in the broader statistics) shows they have tightened up defensively, especially at home where they have yet to concede. Everton’s run of WDDDW underlines their resilience and consistency; they have not lost in 5 league games and concede just 0.6 goals per match on average. Both sides average 1.2 goals scored per game, and the total-goals profiles for each team lean heavily towards under 2.5 in most fixtures.

Given the under/over recommendation around low goal thresholds and the double-chance advice favouring Everton or draw, the likeliest scenario is a cagey match with limited chances. Everton’s extra quality and experience, plus their strong historical record in this fixture, give them a slight edge, but Hull’s defensive solidity at home makes a stalemate very plausible.

Predicted Score: Hull City 1-1 Everton

Hull City Recent Form

Hull’s Premier League form line reads LDDWW, reflecting a slow but steady start. They opened with a defeat but have since become hard to beat, stringing together two draws and then two wins. Across 5 matches they have scored 6 and conceded only 4, with 3 clean sheets in tournament statistics and a particularly strong defensive record at home (0 goals conceded in 2 league games). The main concern is a relatively modest attacking output, relying heavily on the contributions of M. Belloumi.

Everton Recent Form

Everton arrive in Hull unbeaten, with a league form sequence of WDDDW. They have drawn three of five matches, underlining how competitive but sometimes conservative their approach has been. With 6 goals scored and 3 conceded, and 3 clean sheets in tournament statistics, Everton combine solid defending with just enough attacking punch, particularly at Goodison Park. Away from home they have drawn both matches, scoring once and conceding once, which reinforces the expectation of another tight contest here.

Hull City Possible Starting Lineup

Likely key players (by position):
Goalkeepers: J. Butland, D. Phillips, K. Tzolakis, Archie Howard
Defenders: S. Ajayi, L. Coyle, J. Egan, R. Giles, C. Hughes, P. McNair, N. Mendy, B. Norton-Cuffy, M. Targett, S. Ashbee, L. Herrington
Midfielders: M. Crooks, K. Dowell, L. Gourna-Douath, D. Gyabi, J. Hjertø-Dahl, T. Iroegbunam, E. Matazo, H. Morita, C. Mouzakitis, A. Ömür, R. Slater, E. Stroud, Óscar Steven Zambrano Preciado
Forwards/Attackers: M. Belloumi, O. McBurnie, J. Gelhardt, M. Cho, S. Thomas, Ilyas Ansah, R. Vaz

Hull’s most-used formation in tournament statistics is a 5-4-1, deployed in all 5 matches. That suggests a back five built around experienced defenders like S. Ajayi, J. Egan and full-backs such as R. Giles or M. Targett, with wing-backs providing width. In midfield, players like H. Morita and E. Matazo can offer balance, while M. Belloumi is the key creative outlet supporting O. McBurnie up front. The structure prioritises defensive solidity and quick transitions, but Hull must ensure Belloumi receives enough support to avoid becoming isolated as the sole creative spark.

Everton Possible Starting Lineup

Likely key players (by position):
Goalkeepers: J. Pickford, T. King, M. Travers
Defenders: J. Tarkowski, M. Keane, J. Branthwaite, V. Mykolenko, A. Maitland-Niles, J. O’Brien, G. Finney, W. Tamen
Midfielders: J. Garner, K. Dewsbury-Hall, C. Nørgaard, C. Alcaraz, H. Hackney, J. Grealish, H. Armstrong, H. Foster, M. Röhl, Malik Olayiwola
Forwards/Attackers: B. Johnson, T. Barry, T. Dibling, Tyrique George, B. Graham

Everton have alternated mainly between a 4-2-3-1 (used 4 times) and a 4-1-4-1. That points to a back four likely marshalled by J. Tarkowski and M. Keane, with V. Mykolenko at full-back and possibly A. Maitland-Niles on the opposite flank. In midfield, J. Garner’s passing and ball-winning are central, supported by options like K. Dewsbury-Hall or C. Nørgaard. Further forward, B. Johnson and T. Barry offer attacking threat from wide or central roles. The structure gives Everton a strong central spine and flexibility to switch between pressing high and sitting compact.

Hull City Team News

No significant absences reported.

Everton Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Hull City:

• None reported.

Everton:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Hull City vs Everton

Exactly 3 betting ideas based on current stats and market prices:

• Result Tip: Back Everton Draw No Bet / Everton or Draw. The prediction probabilities give Hull a 10% chance to win, with draw and Everton both at 45%. The “Win or draw” comment and advice of a double chance for Everton underline the away side’s edge in avoiding defeat. Market odds for an outright Everton win range from 2.00 to 2.10, implying roughly a 47.6% to 50% chance, while Hull’s odds of 3.22–3.82 imply around 26.2% to 31.1%. Taking Everton on a safer line (such as Draw No Bet or Double Chance in available markets) looks a sensible way to side with the unbeaten team.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 total goals. Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per match, but defensively they are strong: Hull concede 0.8 per game, Everton 0.6. Each has 3 clean sheets in 5 matches. Hull’s goal distribution shows all matches finishing under 2.5 and even under 3.5 so far, and Everton’s under/over profile is similarly low-scoring. The predictions advice explicitly ties Everton/draw to a low-goals angle (“and -3.5 goals”), reinforcing the expectation of a tight game, likely decided by one or two goals at most.
• Value Tip: Card-related angle involving O. McBurnie. McBurnie has 3 yellow cards in 5 appearances, plus 90 total duels and 11 fouls drawn and 7 committed. In a physical, evenly matched game against a robust Everton midfield and defence, his aggressive style makes him a prime candidate for involvement in card markets (such as “player to be booked” where offered). With Everton also fielding combative midfielders like J. Garner (already 2 yellows), a card-focused bet centred on McBurnie offers potential value given his early disciplinary record.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.